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Labor dreaming
May 29, 2004 04:38 PM
The tide keeps flowing out on the Howard Government.
Rowe
It now looks possible that it will face defeat. The budget bounce was not achieved. Why we even have a pollster showing the results for a 2%, 4% and 6% swing to the ALP. It's 1996 in reverse says Hillary Bray. Why you can even hear the death rattle says Crikey.
I do not buy it. It's mostly Labor spin. My guess, that it would be very tight in the marginal seats, is confirmed by private Liberal and Labour polling. The marginals are all that matters and they are probably quite different in character. Makin is very very different to Adelaide. they require different strokes.
In the political chessgame beign played it is the pencilled-in election date of August 7th has been postponed (to October?). With the bad image of Iraq now really hurting the Howard Government, it will be forced to spend some of the $2.4 billion left in its war chest to gain some traction. I reckon that it has to paint itself green so as to look more progressive.
And the ALP? What I saw last week in the House of Representatives was a tightening up. A visible shrinking. They are instinctively doing their small target routine once again. They reckon can win if they just have to hang on, stay together and talk from the same script.
Bollocks. There are many moves in the chess game still to play.