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July 06, 2004
What if the transfer of sovereignty in Iraq doesn’t work. Is there a US fallback plan, if the client Allawai regime is unable to hold Iraq together? It would appear there is no US backup plan. The neocons think they don't need one. Freedom will prevail. Democracy will flourish.
There is a back up plan in place and it is run by Israel. So argues Semour Hersh.
He says that Israel has been among the most enthusiastic supporters of the US invasion of Iraq. It is acutely aware that the American-led occupation would face a heightened insurgency, fearful that the security situation in Iraq was nearing collapse, concerned that the American war against the insurgency was continuing to founder and aware that the occupation would end badly.
Israel is aware that none of the postwar Iraqi political institutions and leaders have shown an ability to govern the country or to hold elections. It views the region as hostile. Israel is convinced that Iran is on the verge of developing nuclear weapons, and that, with Syria’s help, it is planning to bolster Palestinian terrorism as Israel withdraws from the Gaza Strip. Israel sees Moqtada al-Sadr, theIraqi Shiite militia leader as a “stalking horse” for Iran. Moqtada al-Sadr owes much of his success in defying the American-led coalition to logistical and communications support and training provided by Iran.
So Israel is taking action on its own.That involves making the Kurd's allies and an instrument of Israeli policy. If a regime hostile to Israel came to power in Iraq Hersh says that Israel would unleash the Kurds on it. Does that mean an independent Kurdistan with close ties to Israel? Hersh says:
"Israel’s overwhelming national-security concern must be Iran. Given that a presence in Kurdistan would give Israel a way to monitor the Iranian nuclear effort."
The danger of Plan B is a divided Iraq. And an independent Kurdistan run by Israel in a divided Iraq concerns Turkey, Syria and Iran. Do the latter then strengthen their ties to the Palestinians?
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ah, the Jews again. Why am I surprised?