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March 22, 2007
I thought that the Rudd/Tanner proposal to use a bit ($2.7 billion) of the Future Fund (estimated to be $120 billion by 2020) to develop national high speed (12 megabits per second) broadband was an excellent policy initiative. Clearly Telstra is not going to do that, nor the G-9 who will only concentrate on the capital cities. Rudd has dumped the ALP's opposition to selling the rest of Telstra and come up the plan for an ALP government to join with private enterprise to develop an old Beazley telecommunications policy under a 1:1 funding arrangement.
I watched Question Time yesterday and the Liberals were all over the place with their rhetoric of irresponsible economic announcement, economic vandalism, smash and grab raids on the fund, raiding the honeypot, robbing future generations (threatening the superannuation payments to public servants, judges and politicians) etc etc. The burglary and stealing rhetoric was over the top.
All that Rudd+ Co are doing is selling down 30% the Government's Telstra's shares to invest in building national infrastructure that is needed for an information economy. Australia is falling behind other developed countries in terms of availability of high-speed broadband. Costello's performance in Question Time was ham fisted and shrill, with more than a touch of desperation, as he tried to to get an economic scare campaign working against Labor using the slippery slope argument.
The AFR has continually warned that the Future Fund, which was established in 2005, would be viewed by politicians as a piggy bank to be raided for political purposes. Todays editorial comments:
. .regardless of whether fast broadband infrastructure is needed any faster than private industry players are prepared to invest in it, the fundamental question here is one of governance.The Future Fund was established in the 2005-6 budget to build an income stream to pay the unfunded liabilities of federal public servants for which successive federal governments had dodged responsibility. Almost two years ago that liability stood at $91 billion. By 2020 it will be closer to $140 billion. The find has received funding of $40.3 billion to date, plus the 17per cent stake in Telstra remaining after the partial sell-down last year, known as T3...The Telstra shares are worth about $9.2 billion today.
Rudd's proposal is is envisaged as a capital investment with any dividends going back to the Future Fund and so leave it no worse off.
So what's the problem with Rudd's carrier-neutral proposal, given that the Future Fund is not being used as a piggy bank that is raided for political purposes? The AFR's response is that 'major investments in new technology fall into the speculative camp and glib promises to make returns out of future budget surpluses and little comfort.'. The ALP needs to be careful not to use the Future Fund as a piggy bank, given its public commitments to keeping the Future Fund locked up, independent and its decisions based on expert advice.
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It's crazy stuff. Again, the Government looks like it is overplaying it's hand.
For such supposedly savvy political operators, the desperation with which they are grabbing at anything that looks like it may claw some support back is almost embarassing.
Costello has been caught out here, if they truly wanted to lock away this money for the future, they should have done so. But he left it sitting there, to be used potentially.
I would think that Rudd has pre-empted Costello using it in a similar way - and now has Costello backed into a corner, where he can't possibly touch the Future Fund to fund any promises without major political ramifications for himself.
Policy aside, I think that it has been quite clever politics. And carefully timed again to take away Howard's momentum - after all the big story for the week was meant to be Howard's Iraq speech - which has had little oxygen, while the debate over Rudd's broadband plan has blossomed.