Philosophical Conversations Public Opinion philosophy.com Junk for code
hegel
"When philosophy paints its grey in grey then has a shape of life grown old. By philosophy's grey in grey it cannot be rejuvenated but only understood. The owl of Minerva spreads its wings only with the falling of dusk." -- G.W.F. Hegel, 'Preface', Philosophy of Right.
RECENT ENTRIES
SEARCH
ARCHIVES
Library
Links - weblogs
Links - Political Rationalities
Links - Resources: Philosophy
Public Discussion
Resources
Cafe Philosophy
Philosophy Centres
Links - Resources: Other
Links - Web Connections
Other
www.thought-factory.net
'Constant revolutionizing of production, uninterrupted disturbance of all social conditions, everlasting uncertainity and agitation distinquish the bourgeois epoch from all earlier ones ... All that is solid melts into air, all that is holy is profaned.' Marx

a neo-con map of the Middle East « Previous | |Next »
January 17, 2006

This is a very clear representation of the neo-conservative understanding of the US intervention into Iraq and the Middle East. It is a map of the imperial president's messianic mission to bring liberal democracy to Iraq and the Middle East. I presume that the light of democracy stands for a secular enlightenment in a dark world of Islamic fundamentalism: an Islamism that is anti-Western, anti-capitalist, anti-liberal and anti-Semitic.

RamirezVH.jpg
Michael Ramirez

It is a suprising map because the reality on the ground in Iraq is that a majority of Iraqi's want the coalition forces to withdraw. The occupation is the problem for them. If Iraq were to become sovereign and democratic, then the Shia population in the South, where much of Iraq's oil is, would have a predominant influence, and they would prefer friendly relations with Shia Iran. They do not want the Coalition to set up a client regime with military forces that the US can control.

A question: if the US or its client regime cannot rule Iraq, then is Washington's policy to regress the country into an "Afghanistan" of warring clerical and ethnic warlords and tribal chieftains based on min-fiefdoms?

Suprisingly, what is not mentioned in the map is the region's relative importance as a source of petroleum, given the limits of the world's oil supplies and surging growth of the Asian economies causing a huge increase in global demand.

And where is Israel? Is not that Jewish nation-state a key to US geo-political strategy in the Middle East?

Is not the nuclear non-proliferation in the Middle East already been broken by Israel? Are we heading for a situation in which an Islamic Tehran has a nuclear missile pointed at Tel Aviv and a right wing Israeli government has a missile pointing right back at Tehran?

Washington's push for Security Council economic sanctions against Iran will likely fail because of a China/Russia veto. Will the Bush administration's principle of pre emptive strike be invoked to thwart Iran's nuclear aspirations? Or rather Israel will attack Iranian experimental nuclear energy site with the complicity of the Bush Administration in the White House and a Republican Congress. Presumably, Iran will defend itself if it is attacked by Israel.

What I hear is the American media's war drums beginning to beat, as they give space for the neo-con hawks to talk about Iran's "nuclear weapons", it's " nuclear weapons program", and its long-range plan for hostilities against the geo-political interests fof the US or Israel.

I reckon that Iran will get the bomb. And the US will have to live with it. I refuse to accept the way the US media is currently framing the issue.

| Posted by Gary Sauer-Thompson at 02:39 PM | | Comments (6)
Comments

Comments

Adding to your first-rate summation on the present situation in the Middle East, the most favoured solution to the Iranian nuclear issue is the creation of a weapons of mass destruction-free zone in the Middle East. This solution is supported by the EU, Russia and China but rejected off-hand by the US and the Israelis. To date the US has not allowed the subject of Israel’s nuclear arsenal to be raised in any diplomatic discussions on this issue. Iran wouldn’t have been so bold to press on with its nuclear research had the US been in such a weak position in Iraq, its position there dependent on tacit support from Shia power brokers in the south.

The war in Iraq appears to be lost, so the Americans are playing for time, but to what aim? One reason might be is that they wish to create a US oil state protectorate in the north, similar to Kuwait. The Kurds in the north have been independent for a long time now, all but in name, however they lack a standing army. I’ve read a number of reports that Israeli and US military advisers are assisting with the conversion of the Pershmerga militia units into a regular army. We’ll know if this theory holds weight in due time. A standing army will need artillery, helicopter gunships, tanks, etc. Training in these types of sophisticated weapons takes time. Self-determination for the Kurds has always been on the cards, but how does the US placate its long time middle eastern ally Turkey?

Prior to the invasion of Iraq, Iran was the one making the most reforms and electing reformist candidates to challenge the power of the theocratic mullahs. Iran could have done an Indonesia on its own. Now the mullahs are happy throwing reformist or moderate candidates of the ballots.

Steve,
I think that the horse has bolted re the creation of a weapons of mass destruction-free zone in the Middle East.

There is no way that the US and Israel are going eliminate Israel's nuclear arsenal. They are going to have to learn to live with an Iran with nuclear weapons; an Iran allied to China cos of energy considerations.

The US and Israel can huff and puff but nuclear power is a symbol of Iran's great power ambitions. Will Russia and China agree to UN sanctions against Iran? It's doubtful that both will.

I do think that the US will continue to have a military presence and bases in the Middle East. However, the military case for attacks on Iran's dispersed nuclear facilities is not actually compelling. But I guess it doesn't have to be. They would just do a bit of shock and awe.

Gary, I take your point, re the horse has bolted. The EU would prefer disarmament/WMD free-zone or Israeli nuclear predominance over balance of power as solution to this crisis. Balance of power is an inherently unstable arrangement and inevitably leads to an arms race. As an ideology its weaknesses were revealed in 1914 (WWI) and 1962 (Cuban Missile Crisis). With nuclear stand-offs the fear of first strike leads to mistrust, increased volatility and the potential for impulsive reactions to occur on a grand scale. The regimes in both Israel and Iran can be considered fundamentalist in outlook. The Iranian regime zealously promotes the expansion of its brand of Islamic fundamentalism throughout the region. The Israeli regime continues to zealously and vigorously conduct its ideology of Zionist colonisation of Arab territory. Nuclear arms on both sides will just add to the volatility of an already tense standoff. You may recall that France assisted the Iraqi regime in its development of nuclear capability in the early 1980's, its motives being mostly financial. It acquiesced to the Americans once the graveness of the situation and the future potential for a nuclear arms race between two intensely hostile nations on the Arabian peninsular became apparent.

Steve,
I concure with your view that:

Nuclear arms on both sides will just add to the volatility of an already tense standoff.

It sure does look as if Iran has heightened the tensions and his tactics are to defy the West, particularly the US.The strategy seems to be to push the Americans into confrontation and so further Iranian intransigence to the US and Israel is to be expected.

Why so? I do not know.The ongoing challenge to the US-Israeli hegemony over the Middle East will increase the 'attack Iran, save Israel' rhetoric from Washington. Washington cannot say it is fighting for freedom against a dictatorship because Iran is a democracy.

The realpolitik is that those in power in the US and Iran have the reasons they give in public - and the real reason - for what they do.These are different.

I have no idea of the real geopolitical reasons behind the inflamatory rhetoric on both sides. I can only guess.

But it would appear that US-Israeli hegemony over the Middle East may have run into an obstacle--Iran.

Cameron,

It is ironic isn't it. Iran was a country the CIA had returned to a despotic monarch. The Iranian Revolution of 1979, which overthrew the Iranian monarchy and brought to power the Shi'ite Mullahs, did result in democracy of sorts.

As I understand it the Iranian republic is modeled after the French political system with a parliament, president and judiciary, the government maintains clerical oversight bodies that are appointed by the supreme leader.

Yet this theocratic Iranian republic is seen as an 'axis of evil' by the Bush administration. Evil means the opposite of freedom for the Americans, and that means totalitarianism. Israel supports that fiction by saying that it is the only democracy in the Middle East.

Yet the Iran President, Mahmud Ahmadinejad, was popularly elected by poor and young Iranians, and he has a popular mandate. He is definitely not a dictator who came to power through a military coup, against the will of the Iranians.

Iran has a parliament with parliamentary elections every four years.The ones of 1992 in the aftermath of the Iran-Iraq War and 2000 saw the reformist politicians bringthe wind of a "Tehran spring". Then the reformist challengers to the theocratic Iranian state were marginalized in the 2004 elections.

I do not think that the conflict in the Middle east has much to do with freedom and democracy. It has more to do with Iran's challenge to the US/Israeli hegemony in the Middle East.

I'm sure the US and Israeli have done plenty of wars games that explore the consequences of them attacking Iran's nuclear facilities.

I reckon one of the consequences would be to turn Iraq into a greater quagmire than it already is. Maybe we are seeing the limits of the US as an Empire.

All empires have boundaries.