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July 21, 2013
More Canberra Press Gallery speculation about leadership tensions.
Only this time its the Liberal Party---Abbott v Turnbull. When the Canberra Press Gallery is not writing publicity for their favourite politician, they are speculating about leadership tensions within the political parties. Some political sense.
Alan Moir
It's horse race journalism---doing campaign coverage in which the journalists focus on who's going to win rather than what the country needs to settle by electing a prime minister. This perspective appeals to political reporters because it puts them on the inside, looking at the campaign the way the political operatives do. They so want to be political insiders.
It is true that Turnbull as a Liberal leader would be more likely to win an election, but it is also true that in doing so he would take the country far further to the right.
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Heh, Heh, I know its superficial but I love seeing the boot on the other foot after years of Rudd leadershit.
But it won't happen, Viscount Rainman Grech Turnbull challenging for LOTO before the election I mean.
He's very mildly liberal without the capitalisation of the word and to the vast majority of those in his party that spells Poison - with a capital.
I've seen an estimate that about a third of COALition members are climate change denialists. They'll never vote for Rainman in a party leadership spill, Hockey maybe but not Rainman.
Add to those the rabid homophobes, Bernardi types, that were shoehorned into the parliament by Minchin and his mates in 2010. They'll never vote for Rainman, again Hockey maybe.
Further add the monarchists and by now we have Turnbull's potential supporters down to a handful, maybe 2 handfuls at the most. A dozen votes if he's lucky.
So he won't challenge unless Newspoll has 2 consecutive 2pps for the COALiion that have 4's in the front and enough swing seaters Libs get the heeby jeebies about losing their seat.
Not enough time for that to happen before the election so Mal will wait until after.
And lose anyway - probably to Hockey - any port after the storm.
Mind you, I could be wrong.