May 29, 2006
This article in The Guardian by David Goodhart makes a lot of sense in his interpretatin of the lived electoral contradictions faced by the left of centre political parties in a globalised world. Goodhart says:
Public opinion has been growing more polarised in recent years between, on the one hand, a cosmopolitan minority with a universalist, rights-based, post-national ideology that is comfortable in today's more fluid, pluralist society; and, on the other, a more traditional group that is sceptical about rapid change and more concerned with roots and reciprocity. In newspaper terms, it is the Guardian v the Sun.
In Australia it is the Fairfax Press v Murdoch's Daily Telegraph or Hearld Sun. It is a fracture that threatens to split the centre-left coalition--- which is what has happened in the US.
Goodhart then adds:
Labour's problem is that both groups are part of its historic coalition. On the cosmopolitan side is much of the liberal middle class, and on the traditional side is a large part of the old working class. To try to accommodate both (as well as Britain's settled minorities, who occupy most points along the value spectrum), Labour rhetoric has swung, sometimes alarmingly, between the two poles - from celebrating mass immigration, "cool Britannia" and the Human Rights Act, to tough talking on crime, managed migration and ID cards.
This applies equally to the ALP in Australia. It too was caught off balance for the rise of the "security and identity" issues in 2001. Labor has found it hard to pull the security and homeland policy strands into an effective national security policy narrative.
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So...what do you foresee, or recommend, as a political realignment? (Anything beyond an actual or de facto one party state?) I wish I had good ideas of my own...