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victory is no longer an option « Previous | |Next »
November 20, 2006

It is well known that the US has an Israel-centric foreign policy in the Middle East. I presume that the current refashioning of US strategy in light of current international realities means that any notion of emerging triumphant from Iraq will now be abandoned. Victory is no longer the only way out of Iraq. So the search will be on for a strategy that would allow the US to extricate itself from the Iraqi quagmire while retaining its dominant position in the greater Persian Gulf region. I presume that the overarching objective of the (James) Baker-Baker-Hamilton study group is to create the possibilities or suggestions for a new strategic consensus for the US.

Simon Tisdall in The Guardian quotes a former senior administration official saying that:

The Iraq Study Group buys time for the president to have one last go. If the Democrats are smart, they'll play along, and I think they will. But forget about bipartisanship. It's all about who's going to be in best shape to win the White House. The official added: "Bush has said 'no' to withdrawal, so what else do you have? The Baker report will be a set of ideas, more realistic than in the past, that can be used as political tools. What they're going to say is: lower the goals, forget about the democracy crap, put more resources in, do it."

However, a withdrawal from Iraq whilst retaining US hegemony in the greater Persian Gulf region will require the tacit acquiescence of Iraq's neighbors, including Iran and Syria, as both have a stake in the outcome of the Iraqi mess and possess an ability to frustrate any US plans that run counter to their fundamental interests.

| Posted by Gary Sauer-Thompson at 6:11 AM | | Comments (0)