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Iran: confrontation « Previous | |Next »
June 5, 2007

There is still a huge wall of distrust between Iran and the US and powerful figures on both sides are actively opposed to the nascent dialogue between the two camps. This cartoon views the Middle East though the eyes of the imperial power--the US-- who is building permanent US bases in Iraq as well as a giant embassy.

Irag2A.jpg
Alan Moir

Will the struggle the struggle over Iran’s nuclear program evolve into a decision by the Bush administration to resort to force against Iran. Does Vice President Cheney believe the diplomatic track with Iran is pointless, and is he looking for ways to persuade President Bush to confront Iran militarily? In Iran,I Iran it is the conservative, ideological factions within the regime - represented by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his allies among the Revolutionary Guard who are in favour of confrontation.

The geo-politics of the region are changing as the British are planning their exit strategy from Iraq, and it looks as if the 7000 British troops currently garrisoned in Iraq would be out by the end of this year.The old hope, that Iraq would make a rapid transition to a relatively peaceful client state of Washington (dependent on US military power centred on a few large bases), is now gone.

The strategic importance of the Gulf makes a complete US withdrawal highly unlikely in the next few years. Paul Rogers at Open Democracy observes that the policy is to ensure that:

a powerful US military presence is maintained in the heart of the Persian Gulf, forming part of a chain that goes on down to Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar and Oman, with further facilities in Djibouti and Diego Garcia. It should certainly be enough to contain Iran, given a long-term US presence in Afghanistan, and may well - given the strategic value of Gulf oil reserves - be acceptable to any future United States president.

| Posted by Gary Sauer-Thompson at 8:39 AM | | Comments (2)
Comments

Comments

The U.S has learnt one thing from Iraq.
Sending ground troops in is costly and unpopular.
If they go into Iran they will level it first and that will be very unpopular with other countries in the area. So it looks like we have a stand off for now anyway

Well I guess D Day this year stands for Downpour Day. Yahoo!