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July 23, 2007
The war on terror is not looking good for the US. The Bush administration's contention that Iraq constitutes the "central front in the 'war on terrorism' is undercut by the resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan. This has been made possible primarily by the "safe haven" it has enjoyed in the tribal areas of western Pakistan, and also by its association with al-Qaeda in Iraq. Pakistan is now a key military and political hub in the war on terrorism.
The Bush administration has long pressured President General Pervez Musharraf's government in Pakistan to attack suspected al-Qaeda bases in the tribal areas that border Afghanistan. The Pakistani army's recent military departure from this region after the peace agreement left the region in the control of the Pakistani Taliban, who have provided al-Qaeda the kind of safe haven it needed not only to rebuild its capabilities, but also to begin to exert its influence aggressively over neighboring territories and even into Islamabad.
The Bush administration is exerting more pressure on Musharraf in the effort to encourage him to send his troops into the border districts and attempt to take control at a time when Musharraf has domestic problems. Will he suspend the constitution and declare an emergency in the country?
Is Musharraf in a position to please Washington to carry out a full-fledged crackdown on Islamic militants?
The radical armed insurgency is dedicated to an Islamic revolution with the aim to establish a firm base in Pakistan from where it can fuel the Taliban-led insurgency in Afghanistan and ultimately announce a regional caliphate. Can Pakistan prevent this, given the attacks by radical Islamists on Pakistani army and government facilities in districts bordering Afghanistan districts after the siege of the radical Red Mosque in Islamabad? The Washington Post reports that the fighting intensifies between the Pakistani army and insurgents in a volatile tribal area near the Afghan border.
Washington is becoming ever more involved in western Pakistan as the Pakistan security forces find the going tough. The Americans are intervening by building a large US base on a mountaintop at Ghakhi Pass on the Pakistan-Afghanistan (Bajaur) border. As Paul Rogers at Open Democracy highlights, the US is also intervening in the form of automated warfare based on an armed pilotless drone.
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there is delicious irony in the way dubya took his attention away from bin laden to jump into the honeypot of iraq. iraq turned out to be a tarbaby, the taliban are coming up like mushrooms, and alqaeda is spreading like starbucks.
it's maybe not fair to say his regime is the worst to date, nixon was a hard act to top.
but poor dubya can't take a trick, although he looks like stalling the pullout from iraq until a democrat president 'loses' the war.
makes you think the old greeks were onto something with that notion of 'hubris'. and it's pretty clear that no one in the bush cabinet read "the art of war".
but the real question is,how long are the yanks (and the rest of us) going to let a handful of crazies send a nation to war?