September 29, 2007
It's hard to imagine what this year must have been like for people living in marginal electorates. And it can only get worse.
Last night on Lateline Ian Kortlang and Michael Costello agreed that the million dollar a day government adformation campaign is a wast of money. Unless the point is to annoy people, in which case it's working a treat. For those of us living outside magical marginal land it's bad enough, but it must be hellish for the folk in swinging seats.
What the rest of us think should happen has largely been established by successive polls, but the ones who don't think anything yet, and may in fact never get around to thinking about their vote, will eventually decide who will be doing the deciding for the next little while. For politicians these people have targets painted on their foreheads.
If media coverage is any indication these people can't answer the door or the phone, walk down the street, drop the kids at school or go shopping without having some pollster quizzing them or some political message shoved down their throats.
Michael Costello figures Howard should put off calling the election while there's still hope that some major event happens along to rescue him. Ian Kortlang thinks it should be called soon on the basis of the circuit breaker theory.
I imagine the swingers in the marginals would probably agree with Kortlang, if not for the same reasons.
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I think the swinging voter only makes up a small part of the undecided vote. The much large parcel are actually the "Leaping Numbats"
Its quite amusing that this group will get the winner over the line and make that team Right.