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November 16, 2008
Why is Australia in Afghanistan? We are waiting for the Taliban to hand-over Osama bin-Laden. Since they are unwilling to do so they have to be bombed by NATO. The Taliban respond with an endless spate of bombings, instead of a conventional battle. They are denounced as resorting to terrorism by NAT0. However, the western military say that the solution in Afghanistan cannot be purely, or even mainly, military. Clearly, Washington has accepted that militancy, at least in Pakistan and Afghanistan, can't be tamed only through the barrel of the gun, especially given its resurgence in these countries. The military option is a descent into chaos.
So what are Australian troops are supposed to be doing there? Completing the mission apparently. Which is what? Looking for Osama bin-Laden?
Being involved in NATO's counter insurgency----the local Taliban are fighting against foreign troops in Afghanistan----makes no strategic sense at all in terms of Australia's national interest. That interest is not threatened by the Taliban. The Americans are calling for more troops---a surge. Europe resists. Spain, Germany, Britain----even Canada---- want to withdraw their troops.
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It's called 'irrational escalation of commitment', or 'trying to recover sunk costs', or 'throwing good money (or in this instance, lives) after bad'.
In other words withdrawing without any discernible achievements would suggest that the whole exercise was ill-planned and pointless. In short, a gross error of judgement.
'Gross error of judgement' is not a phrase to be tolerated in the prime ministerial office under any circumstances.
Alternatively we're there fighting a desperate battle to prevent the establishment of a new caliphate extending from Morocco to Indonesia and who knows where beyond that, and if we cut and run, the terrorists will have won. I guess we should go with option 2, it's simpler.