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November 25, 2008
And so we continue to struggle and crawl our way to a national broadband network (fibre to the node) that offers minimum speeds of 12 megabits per second and covering 98% of the country. It's a big infrastructure investment built on a second rate concept and half measures and a tender process that doesn't spell out the regulatory framework in which competition will operate. Things look a mess for this cart before the horse scheme even though the tender bids are due in at high noon tomorrow.
Telstra continues to pay its high stakes game of bluff on regulation and separation---it will not bid unless there is a guarantee that it will not be structurally separated into separate companies - one limited to offering the network hardware and the other offering retail services to customers in competition with other retailers. Telstra continues to demand 1an after-tax 8% return on its investment and to talk in terms of a wholesale access charge of $59 a month and charging competitors $85 for a basic service of 512 kilobits per second. Monopoly prices for nothing special.
Doubts persist about the ability of the Optus-led Terria consortium, which is suffering credibility problems due to questions over its ability to source funding during the credit crunch and Telecom New Zealand, TPG-Soul and TransACT pulling out. The financial crisis has removed any outside industry bidders, and possibly the Optus-lead Terria bid, due to the unwillingness of the banks willing to lend much money at all to anyone. Most analysts and investors believe Telstra remains the only party capable of building and coughing up the money for a network which is expected to cost at least $15 billion.
It's in Telstra's interests to stall the competition, to eliminate their existing competition and to block open points of presence. This is a company that still thinks in terms of a being a monopoly and it has has sought to drag out the process time and again. It will continue to pull its usual stunts of legal challenges, go-slows, refusal to put its traffic on the new network and threats to build its own network if anyone else wins.
Since there is little talk of encouraging initiatives to build fibre or other high speed options in the last kilometre or two from the node to the home and business, it is unlikely that Australia will emerge from the looming recession with a 21st century communications industry.
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Conroy developed his broad band plan for a national broadband network early last year as a political play to take advantage of the Howard government's poisonous relationship with Telstra and its gross stupidity in leaving the telco intact at the time of the T3 sale.
It still looks as plan to adopt Telstra's early proposal that the Government hand over several billion dollars and let it build the network to increase value for its shareholders.