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November 12, 2008
The NSW mini-budget is an indication of what is to come from state governments in response to the global and economic crisis. It is to raise taxes, sell off assets, reduce infrastructure spending, cut public service spending. The neo-liberal Treasury i rules to protect the state's credit rating with rating agency Standard & Poor. The political will to reform is kept in the can in favour of measures to stunt the growth of the regional economy on the edge of recession.
Keynes, it would seem, is still out of favour. As Ross Gittens in The Age says
And if it makes the downturn worse for the people of NSW, that's just something they will have to cop. At a time when Federal Labor is increasing its spending and rapidly turning a budget surplus into a deficit to bolster the economy, it may strike you as strange that its state Labor counterpart is doing the opposite: cutting government spending and increasing taxes.You're right, it is strange. Perverse, in fact.
Though the Roozendal mini budget has the appearance of reform ---the start of an effective system of congestion taxing in Sydney with the harbour bridge toll changes and increased parking levies in major business areas---it is only an appearance. There is no investment in public transport: both the North-West Metro and the South-West Rail Link are axed.
Labor is yet to deliver enough baseload electricity to keep the lights on, hospital spending is bursting its banks, Sydney is gridlocked, and no moves are made towards shifting to a more sustainable ---carbon less--economy. Treasury rules. Close things down.
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Alan Kohler in Big government takes over in Business Spectator says that the small-government warriors who emerged in the 1980s with Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher, and who morphed into neo-cons during the past decade under George W Bush, are in full retreat. Governments have become the employers, the spenders and the lenders of last resort.
He adds that now it looks like governments will be forced to take ownership of “real economy” corporations that are too important to fail, such as GM and Ford.
It would appear that the state Treasuries are bucking--resisting?-- this new trend.