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March 15, 2009
The Financial Times has an ongoing discussion on the changes to capitalism, as a result of the free-market model that dominated thinking for 30 years having been discredited by the global financial crisis.
The frame is the future of capitalism and the position of the Financial Times in this debate is that:
The story of the modern capitalist economy is a rhythmic repetition of cycles, syncopated by eerily similar crises. These crises, while their details differ, are but variations on the same theme. Easy money, geared up by leverage, floods the financial system through innovative products. This simultaneously pumps up asset prices and obscures their speculative nature, with euphoria usurping the place of analysis. Until, one day, something triggers a loss of confidence in the continued rise of prices, and the whole leveraged edifice crumbles.
The FT argues that:
Those who sound the death knell of market capitalism are therefore mistaken. This was not a failure of markets; it was a failure to create proper markets. What is to blame is a certain mindset, embodied not least by Mr Greenspan. It ignored a capitalist economy’s inherent instabilities – and therefore relieved policymakers who could manage those instabilities of their responsibility to do so. This is not the bankruptcy of a social system, but the intellectual and moral failure of those who were in charge of it: a failure for which there is no excuse.
It is a failure of regulators because the conditions for an unregulated market, in theory, to function efficiently were not put in place. These conditions are: full information, enforceable property rights and contracts, and the absence of “externalities” – effects of economic transactions on third parties. These conditions are never fulfilled, but many markets come close enough that participants’ self-interested actions achieve good outcomes for all.
So the government is to blame---not the market.It is accepted that the normal workings of capitalism cause unemployment, panics (busts) and manias (booms), but that this rollercoaster is just the result of markets not working efficiently. The assumption is that financial markets are stable. As Robert Schiller says, according to classical economic theory:
People will only make trades that they consider to benefit themselves. When entering financial markets – buying stocks or bonds or taking out a mortgage or even very complex securities – they will do due diligence in seeing that what they are buying is worth what they or paying, or what they are selling.
Schiller goes onto say that the problem with this theory is that it overlooks that financial capitalism:
will produce snake oil. Not only that: it may also produce the want for the snake oil itself. That is a downside to capitalism. Standard economic theory failed to take into account that buyers and sellers of assets might not be taking due diligence, and the marketplace was not selling them insurance against risk in the complex securities that they were buying, but was, instead, selling them the financial equivalent of snake oil.
And snake oil is what we got from the global financial institutions. Snake oil means unstable markets and market failure. Financial capitalism causes socio-economic havoc.
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US policymakers now seem to get that this is a worldwide crisis, not a local disturbance; and that if America attempts to drag the world out of this mess on its own, then it will break its back.
It's taken them a long time to wake up.