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October 13, 2010
There is to be a debate on the war in Afghanistan before parliament is due to rise on 25 November----possibly next week. What we won't have is parliamentarians being allowed a free vote, unshackled by party discipline, so they can canvass the full range of issues raised by our continuing participation in an unpopular war.
More than likely we will hear a lot of knee jerk 'you are wrong we are right; you are bad we are good', as each side plays the war for political advantage and bores us silly with the adherence to the clash of civilizations frame, the 9/11 discourse about Islam, and the determination by many to politicize terrorism and make every aspect of it a wedge issue.
Maybe the parliamentarians could take time out and reflect on the purpose of this war, which is very vague. Is Australia still fighting al Qaeda? They seem to have slipped into the background. It is to guarantee that Afghanistan will never be used as a base by a small group (ie.,al Qaeda) determined to undertake a terrorist attack. Does that mean we are fighting the Taliban, who want to expel foreign military forces?
That means Australia is fighting an insurgency ie., Australia is involved in a civil war. Do Australian politicians still regard the Taliban as synonymous with al Qaeda? Who, then is the Taliban? Or are there different Talibans? (eg., ones in Pakistan and one in Afghanistan). Are there different Taliban factions in Afghanistan?
Is the deployment of Australian troops to Afghanistan aimed at strengthening the US alliance through a mission to kill terrorists? Both General David Petraeus in Iraq and former Australian Army officer David Kilcullen, the former chief counter-insurgency adviser to Petraeus, have argued that the Americans are involved counter-insurgency operations. That means Australia is fighting an insurgency that is defending its homeland.
So are things getting better? What does better mean?
Is the Australian army prevailing against Afghan insurgents in Uruzgan province? Is NATO securing the population in Afghanistan and defeating the insurgency. But most people acknowledge that decisive victory is not going to be won by force of arms. It's all about nation building. That could take decades given the Pakistani safe havens, bad government in Afghanistan, the poor state of the Afghan security forces and declining international support for the military mission. This is an unwinnable venture from a military perspective.
To win against the Taliban, some Afghans will need to be prepared to risk death to stand up to them; and those that do will not be persuaded by guns and bombs. Has NATO actually become a hindrance to the emergence of the leadership that Afghanistan needs?
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is the war with "radical militant Islam" still the single most important overarching framework for Australia's relationship with the world?