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UN climate change negotiations: Durban « Previous | |Next »
December 9, 2011

Will there be a deal on climate change at the United Nations Climate Change Conference, (COP17) in Durban, South Africa, to reduce the rising greenhouse emissions and to replace the Kyoto protocol?

The European Union's roadmap towards a new global agreement is on the table: under the plan all the world's major emitters – both developed and developing countries – would negotiate a new pact or treaty in 2015 to cut emissions substantially from 2020. A new international legally binding treaty, would come into force in 2020.

If there is no roadmap, and the EU withdraws its support, the Kyoto protocol would effectively be dead. Without a clear timetable and the end result of a legal treaty, there is a fear that any deal at Durban would amount only to a commitment to keep talking. In the absence of legally binding commitments and a strategy to raise ambition, we can kiss 2C warming above pre-industrial levels goodbye as we will be on a pathway to 3.5C warming or worse.

Australia has said that it would sign up if the major emitters did--ie. the US, Russia China, Japan and India. India is opposed to a roadmap whils tyhe US and China are in their familiar standoff. The the US came to Durban with a mission to prevent any new commitments before 2020. The US's dysfunctional political system will almost surely keep them from being part of the eventual new agreement. They haven't even ratified the Kyoto Protocol.

| Posted by Gary Sauer-Thompson at 3:34 PM |