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November 2, 2004
I guess the US is voting as I write this after returning from being offline in the wilderness. So I've had little chance to browse US blogs.
The Washington Post reports that a flurry of national polls completed over the weekend showed Bush and Kerry in a statistical tie, with neither candidate being able to establish clear momentum. Pew says Bush still just ahead?. Gallop says dead heat. They don't know, in other words.
With the race remaining too-close-to-call the outcome is dependent on several key swing (battleground) states. Two of the biggest battlegrounds, Florida and Ohio -- both in Bush's camp in 2000 -- were too close to call. A call on Ohio
Paul Krugman says that:
"Florida's early polling was designed to make voting easier, but enormous voter turnout swamped the limited number of early polling sites. Over the weekend, people in some polling places had to stand in line for four, five, even six hours, often in the hot sun. Some of them - African-Americans in particular - surely suspected that those lines were so long because officials wanted to make it hard for them to vote. Yet they refused to be discouraged or intimidated."
Is it that bad in Florida? Well, my image of Florida is that this state under a Republican Governor has corrupted the democratic process. I expect the Republicans will try to find a way to steal Florida no matter whom the voters attempt to cast their ballots for. Florida is crucial because George W. Bush emerged victorious as President by a margin of 537 votes in Florida
An erosion of support for the Republicans in the early polling? Check this this out. And this.
Even conservatives are uneasy with Bush.
Tom Toles
And so they should. Bush is a big government conservative who inherited a $US 5 trillion budget surplus from President Clinton and turned it into a $US 2.3 trillion deficit.
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$7 trillion is alot to spend on war and tax cuts.