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May 11, 2008
Why would a smart woman like Hillary Clinton continue her campaign when the odds are against her? Does Clinton's doggedness in fighting on reflect a hope on her part that she wants to add expected wins in West Virginia, Kentucky and Puerto Rico to her grand total, and then extract political favours from Obama, which could include the vice-presidential slot? Will Clinton be able to force her way onto the ticket?
Peter Brookes
Americans are probably witnessing a changing of the guard, the final days of the House of Clinton, after 16 years of dominance. Yet a large part of the Democratic electorate, ā especially white, blue-collar and the elderly ā remain passionately loyal to the Clintons, and openly hostile to Obama.
Clinton's heritage, as Paul Krugman points out in the New York Times, is a Democrat party that looks to be deeply divided along race and class lines.
Update: 12 May
African-American voters have broken for Obama in margins that make Hillary Clinton look about as popular in the neighborhood as Rudy Giuliani. So much for Hillary Clinton's alleged roots in the black community. Ta-Nehisi Coates in The Nation says that:
so much of what's been said about Barack Obama and African-Americans has been so shockingly wrong. Intellectuals examining Obama are trapped in an ancient dynamic--one that even in its heyday was overstated--in which white and black America are constantly at each other's throats, and agree on nothing. The either/or fallacy is their default setting.....Obama has redefined blackness for white America, has served notice that wherever we are, we are. What he is positing is blackness as a valid ethnic identity with its own particular folkways and yet still existing within the broader American continuum.
The shift is in focus from white racism to black culture, which Coates explores in this article on Bill Cosby in The Atlantic.
Now that it's clear Hillary's presidential campaign is all but over, the right is proceeding apace with their attempt to attack Michelle Obama as radical, unfeminine, unpatriotic. One of the most basic rhetorical tropes in the Republican and Right's tactic book is that all Democrats are radicals who hate America, that all female Democrats are ball-busting bitches and all male Democrats are girly-men (Barack Obama is an effete latte-sipping snob). Then the racism will be poured on. Read Kathy-G's post on this at The G Spot.
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Gary,
The latest delegate count from NBC News gives Obama 1850 delegates and Clinton 1703, while 2,025 are needed to clinch the nomination. Obama currently has 274 superdelegates whilst Clinton has 271. Clinton once lead by 100. The undecided superdelegates to the Democratic party convention who will decide the nomination are opting for Obama.
Clinton is favoured to win in West Virginia and Kentucky, whilst Obama is expected to take Oregon (May 20). If so, the bell tolls for Clinton as Obama is ahead in the next two primaries in Montana and South Dakota (June 3). The writing is on the wall. A negative campaign against Obama is only going to alienate her from the rest of the Democrat Party that is seeking unity so as to be able fight the dirt machine of the Republicans.