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June 3, 2008
The end of the primary session comes with the contests in South Dakota and Montana. In the last week or so Obama and McCain have behaved as if the Democratic race has been won as they have focused their attacks on one another, ignoring Clinton. So when will Hillary Clinton exit?

Peter Brookes
Despite winning Puerto Rico Clinton is dead in the water. The Democratic nominating process just ends.
However her campaign lives in an alternate universe. Clinton's strategy (or one of them) for the last few weeks has been to argue that the candidate who receives the most votes in the primaries represents the considered choice of the rank and file of the party and that superdelegates should thus cast their vote with that candidate.
However, the Democratic presidential nomination is decided by delegates, not the popular vote. Granted there's a good argument to be made that it should be decided by the popular vote but for now, it isn't. The primary process is not set up to measure the popular vote. It's set up to measure delegates.
The question of Michigan and Florida's delegations was finally settled. Both states -- which defied DNC Rules and moved their primaries forward -- will see their delegations sliced in half. Michigan, where Obama wasn't on the ballot, will be split 69-59 Hillary. And at the end of the day, Clinton will receive a net gain of 24 delegates, leaving her trailing by 176, and effectively ending her candidacy.Obama is effectively 46 delegates away from clinching the Democratic nomination. It's hard to see how Clinton could keep such a fight going all Summer long -- it's more likely that her own super-delegates would start switching to Obama in order to send a clear message that the race is over.
What is the point of Clinton continuing the race after Obama reaches the magic number of 2,118 delegates? Numbers are numbers.
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Gary
Even if catching Obama in the delegate count is out of reach, there's no reason (from Clinton's point of view) for her not to press on and pad out her delegate numbers as best she can, both to make the loss look closer and to increase her own leverage to whatever degree she can.
If Clinton tries to keep the contest going after the primaries, it seems likely that some of her backers could withdraw their support.