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July 3, 2008
In the online world it's easy to get the impression that climate change denialism or scepticism is the norm and that most of the population is nervously awaiting the configuration of the emissions trading scheme as if it's the sum total of what can be done.
Clive Hamilton won't be writing for OnLine Opinion anymore because he feels it's "been 'captured' by climate change denialists", and reading the comments you can't blame him. Brawls between believers and non-believers are a kind of ritual in the blogosphere, and then there's the Bananas in Pyjamas' evil twins Blair and Bolt.
Given the expectation that the ETS will be a huge economic shift it's no surprise that the policy, economics and climate change specialists in the blogosphere have devoted so many pixels to it. But experts are not average. More than half of average people have never heard of an ETS and the majority of those who have don't understand it. The good news is that when it's explained, they approve. Out there in the real world there is enormous support for action, but disappointment that nothing seems to be happening.
Hugh Mackay had some interesting things to say about it on the 7.30 Report last night. Video is up but the transcript's not available yet.
In Mackay's opinion people are more than ready for a shift, are worried about climate change and are well aware of, and prepared to accept, higher costs of living. They're waiting for something significant to happen and Kevin's not delivering, which fits with the 'wasting political capital' theme.
Watching the interview last night, it seems that Kerry O'Brien is making the same mistake here as Rudd in assuming that the ETS is the big fix the population is waiting for, but it's not. Mackay talked about the South East Queensland water saving campaign as the kind of thing people are expecting - some kind of all round campaign that sets limits and gives people personal responsibility for their contribution to a solution. Similarly, people are expecting to be called upon to actively participate in reducing the country's carbon footprint.
Queenslanders can quite rightly take personal credit for reducing water consumption to the point where they now have more than they know what to do with. A lot of it - four minute showers, no hosing, only use the washing machine when there's a full load, buckets only for car washing - is common sense. But they needed to be told and they needed to know that freeloaders wouldn't be tolerated. Hosing the driveway is now socially unacceptable.
It wouldn't be all that hard to put together a campaign that would make excessive use of electricity and petrol socially unacceptable. It wouldn't send the country broke to let the wealthy have their solar panel rebate. It's already a standing joke in some circles, but people might like to know how to drive more fuel efficiently or what kinds of gadgets they can buy so they don't have to reach behind the entertainment unit to switch off all the stuff that eats power on standby. Swtich off the lights when you're not in the room might be common sense, but maybe we're waiting for the most popular prime minister in the world to ask us to switch them off as a kind of symbol of patriotism.
Switching off the lights for the country is a heck of a lot easier and more practical than having a third child.
Obviously the Federal Government can't send squads of ticket-writing carbon-abuse monitors out into the suburbs, but the increased costs of power that will come with the ETS could easily be treated as just desserts for freeloaders. And if you gained sufficient public support for energy saving lifestyles it would be that much harder for the greenhouse mafia to justify exemptions and subsidies.
We've assumed since 24/11 that the mood for change would be, and was, satisfied by a change of PM, but Mackay has been trying to point out that it's more than that. He's been trying to say that people are more engaged, they're paying more attention and they're ready to participate. That message is being ignored and it's being assumed that the main game is still at the inaccessible end of town, where powerful men in suits do all the important stuff. Certainly that's part of it and as far as carbon is concerned, it's a huge part. But asking people to just go about their business and trust the suits to do the right thing is a bit much. It's the equivalent of admitting nothing will change, which is not why people voted the way they did.
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It's not just the common populace. In a speech today, Greg Gailey, president of the Business Council of Australia and former CEO of miner, Zinifex, is urging the government to get on with it.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23960552-5013871,00.html
This morning David Parker, NZ Minister for Energy and Climate Change, was interviews on Radio National Breakfast. Carbon trading starts in NZ later this year.