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May 3, 2011
Osama Bin Laden had become a mythic figure in the Western imaginary and the Islamic one, even though only a minority of Muslims wants such a theocratic dictatorship advocated by Al-Qaeda--- a return to the medieval Muslim caliphate (a combination of pope and emperor). His death is being celebrated in the West as a victory in the decade long war on terrorism--it's a feeding frenzy of commentary. The Americans have their revenge and retribution. It is symbolic event; a cathartic moment.
However history has moved on in that the uprisings that have shaken the Middle East region, from Tunisia, Egypt to the ongoing protests against the Assad regime in Syria, have not involved significant Islamist activity – let alone the violent jihadi and clash of civilization between Islam and the West ideas promoted by Bin Laden, Ayman al-Zawahiri and their associates. The largely peaceful mass movements want parliamentary democracy in that they articulate their desires using categories such as the nation, the people, liberty and democracy.
So the movement Bin Laden founded has already failed: there has not been a broad fundamentalist revolution that would topple existing Arab governments and usher in a unified Islamic caliphate. Al-Qaeda has been almost completely irrelevant to the popular upheavals that have dominated regional politics.
The Australian government is quick to say that Australia will "stay the course" in Afghanistan to "get the job done" so that Afghanistan does not become a haven for terrorists again. The war on terrorism can be won say the neocons.
Yet it is Pakistan that provides the safe haven. The Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate (ISID), Pakistan's powerful security and spy agency, are effectively providing the terrorists with protection and they also support the Taliban in Afghanistan in order to block Indian influence. So the Afghan Taliban and their associates have been able to operate unimpeded from Pakistani soil. What will happen to these Afghan Taliban leaders now?
Al Qaeda isn't the real reason the US is having a hard time in Afghanistan, it has nothing to do with its difficulties with Iran and little to do with Israel and the Palestinians.The anger at various aspects of U.S. policy in the Middle East continues to drive anti-Americanism in the region, and this makes it more difficult for the US to protect its imperial interests in that part of the world. The US is not seen as a benign hegemon whose regional dominance is to be welcomed.
It looks as if the post 9/11 national security state (with its security queues and surveillance) is here to stay for quite some time, even though the NATO counterterrorism mission in Afghanistan is dissipating.
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I wonder the reasons why Pakistan decided to give him up. Perhaps with recent events in other countries they have seen the value of order and not chaos. Perhaps as China is growing we are starting to see teams change a little.