|
June 28, 2011
The new greener Senate comes into play on July 1st with Parliament sitting next week. The Australian is not happy. Will a green Senate help to improve the capacity of the Gillard Government to govern more effectively? For one thing the Coalition will be in the position of being on the sidelines angrily watching. They have little interest in actually doing anything about climate change themselves.
The last session of Parliament suggested that Abbott's relentless attack attack strategy was running a bit flat. it came across as more anger and frustration than trying to persuade the independents to side with Coalition to bring the Gillard Government down. Labor may have tanked in the polls but it has found its feet in Parliament.
A carbon price mechanism could commence with a fixed price (through the issuance of fixed price units within an emissions trading scheme) before converting to a cap-and-trade emissions trading scheme. It does mean that when the carbon tax deal is done in the Multi-Party Climate Change Committee and is finalized by the Government it will pass Parliament.
Australia is still on track to increase its emissions in 2020 to 24 per cent above 2000 levels and we are having conferences on Australia in a hot world. Labor is currently at its low point: unable to spell out what its carbon tax will cost, what compensation will be given to households and industry, and what if anything will be invested to bring on low-emissions technologies; and what kind of independent committee would set emissions reduction targets.
I suspect that the points of conflict between Labor and the Greens would include compensation paid to the fossil fuel electricity producers and for a significant portion of carbon tax proceeds to be redirected into developing renewable sources of energy. The regional Independents---Windsor and Oakeshott---would side with The Greens on requiring substantial investment in renewables.
Judging from Labor's track record on this with the failed carbon pollution reduction scheme (CPRS) it will give a lot of money--compensation--- to the polluting power generators and very little money to developing renewable sources of energy. My guess is that there are still gaps" between the positions of the Greens and Labor and that the Greens will compromise. In what way? What happens to transport? Will it be included?
Labor dragging its heels reflects the politics of energy in Australia. Big Coal still rules, the ideologues are out in force and Big Business is acting as spoilers in the modest reform attempts to make Australia more sustainable. The economic and political forces operating against change are still far more powerful than the forces seeking transformation.
The price on carbon will come and it will start to change the behaviour of the power generators who will reduce their emissions. When will we start to see fast and cheap charging points (four hours) in our homes for electric cars? Or will we remain shackled to the petrol pump owned by the oil companies?
|
goodbye Family First. Good riddance. They achieved very little apart from blocking.