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February 16, 2008
Remember David Coe and the Allco Finance Group?
They are the private equity crowd that almost took over Qantas a year ago. It was Coe and his financial engineers who spearheaded that $11 billion takeover bid. Remember the plan? It was to take Qantas private, load it up with debt, and everybody would win. The magic pudding. The financial wizard's plan, based around borrowing heavily to invest in assets that increased in value that allowed them to borrow more to invest in more assets, foundered on share holder resistance.
Now Coe's in trouble from the credit crunch. He is desperately trying to offload assets from his multi-billion financial empire ahead of several debt headlines to keep the banks happy and allow the shares of Allco to resume trading. They were seen to have borrowed to much money and were carrying a lot of debt with the financial crisis in the US last year arising from the sub-prime and liquidity crisis.
I do not comprehend the complicated corporate financial structures and network constructed by the financial wizards, or the way they developed these complicated financial structures to take advantage of loopholes in American and European tax laws. But I know that Allco is rapidly running out of options. to address its short term cash flow issues that leave it short of cash for funding commitments, including the acquisition of a portfolio of 29 North American power generators from US energy giant ConEdison. Allco is looking for a buyer to take on the cash and debt commitments.
I do know that the global financial system's financial bubble, which was based on more and more loans with a high risk of default, has burst. Credit continues to contract, debt deflation is happening in the US, there are lots of loses from the bursting of the US housing bubble and the recession in the US has begun.
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Gary,
bubbles inflating and popping are just the normal and natural part of the capitalist process. Bubbles come and go, but each of these fleeting economic moments, lays the foundation for the next space of economic opportunity that can be exploited by dyamic and innovative entrepreneurs.
You need to take the long view and governments need to stand out of the way. So argues Jason Potts in the CIS latest issue of their Policy magazine.